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Posted by: SaveVS.Death on Jun 11, 2012 at 03:48:36 PM
I am a mathematician by day and a DM by night so this is a chance for me to unite two of my loves.

Mike Mearls said that the advantage system is similar to adding a +5 on a 20 sided die. Let's treat Mr. Mearls as an oracle and see if we can decipher what he means. After a probabilistic analysis, we'll find that he is right--in a way--but that the advantage system is actually much better than simply adding a modifier. 

Rolling two d20's and taking the maximum is the advantage system. What are the probabilites of getting any particluar value? By simply counting the number of ways a roll can occur and dividing by the total number of possible outcomes, we can find:

1     1/400
2     3/400
3     5/400
4     7/400
5     9/400
6    11/400...
Posted by: SaveVS.Death on Jan 27, 2012 at 09:53:59 AM
It is my hope--nay my dream--to once again be named a "hero of blogging" by wrecan. With all the excitement about new developments in the game, I really want to say something smart and insightful about DnD Next, but there is plenty of good comments on the forums. I have nothing to add except that I am excited and think the idea of encompassing all the editions is great.

In fact, it is what we (my campaign group) have always done. When we were young, we combined the best elements of OD&D and AD&D, and now we are combining elements of 1st edition with 4th edition. What other (non-RPG) game is so flexible? None! That is the beauty of D&D. 

According to Gary Gygax's wife, he used to say, "The secret we should never let the gamemasters know is that they don't need any rules.” ...