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Magic Online Magic Online General 12/18/2012 Feature: "Magic Online Programs...
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Switch to Forum Live View 12/18/2012 Feature: "Magic Online Programs Update: MOCS, MOPR, and More"
4 months ago  ::  Jan 19, 2013 - 4:15AM #441
Zlehtnoba
Date Joined: Mar 26, 2004
Posts: 864

Jan 19, 2013 -- 3:43AM, nushae wrote:

Jan 18, 2013 -- 10:28PM, bubba0077 wrote:

They already have the phantom events for the more casual players...




This made me do a double take. Why? Because *I* think the phantom events don't target casual audiences at all. If you don't 'keep the cards' it's ALL about the quality of your drafting, which I would expect to appeal more to non-casual players.




The casual players remark above probably refered to the cheap price of entry. You get to play two hours of limited, and even if you lose twice, it's only four tickets, and you gained some experience. Non-casual players mostly care about EV and such; and yes, if you're good enough to win two queues out of three, six boosters for twelve tix is a good deal.

So these phantoms should be appealing to most everyone. After all, you can always take your winnings and crack them in the draft queues.

50. Doesn't hurt. Yet.
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4 months ago  ::  Jan 19, 2013 - 9:04AM #442
Emoticon
  • Kitten-Bitten
Date Joined: May 28, 2003
Posts: 3,851

Jan 18, 2013 -- 10:28PM, bubba0077 wrote:

I think they would fire if they eliminate the tix cost and switched to 7-4-1. It's only a small increase in the EV (-16 tix in, -2 boosters out = net +2 boosters), but they would feel much better. The winner would actually get ahead, and the no tix entry would be a big incentive. They already have the phantom events for the more casual players, there's no need to overlap audiences. This queue should appeal at least somewhat to the competitive player.




As a point of fact, they used to have nix-tix 6-booster sealed with a 9-4-1 payout, and those only fired for about a week (and occasionally for a few days after a release ended), then died.

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4 months ago  ::  Jan 21, 2013 - 11:47AM #443
cseraph
Date Joined: May 7, 2008
Posts: 59

Jan 19, 2013 -- 4:15AM, Zlehtnoba wrote:

Jan 19, 2013 -- 3:43AM, nushae wrote:

Jan 18, 2013 -- 10:28PM, bubba0077 wrote:

They already have the phantom events for the more casual players...




This made me do a double take. Why? Because *I* think the phantom events don't target casual audiences at all. If you don't 'keep the cards' it's ALL about the quality of your drafting, which I would expect to appeal more to non-casual players.




The casual players remark above probably refered to the cheap price of entry. You get to play two hours of limited, and even if you lose twice, it's only four tickets, and you gained some experience. Non-casual players mostly care about EV and such; and yes, if you're good enough to win two queues out of three, six boosters for twelve tix is a good deal.

So these phantoms should be appealing to most everyone. After all, you can always take your winnings and crack them in the draft queues.




Well they demonstrably don't, no matter what logic you apply to them - they aren't firing like 4 pack did. Part of your mistake is that nobody is good enough to win 2/3 events, that's an absurd ratio. Not even lsv wins 2/3 drafts, and it is presumably easier to even out randomness that could cause a loss in drafts than it is in sealed where your entire pool is up to chance.

Also, people don't want to play some theoretically better phantom pack EV in order to open packs in order to play a bad EV pack opening event. They want to come to one place for both things, and that's reasonable.

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4 months ago  ::  Jan 22, 2013 - 7:58AM #444
Zlehtnoba
Date Joined: Mar 26, 2004
Posts: 864

Jan 21, 2013 -- 11:47AM, cseraph wrote:

Jan 19, 2013 -- 4:15AM, Zlehtnoba wrote:

Jan 19, 2013 -- 3:43AM, nushae wrote:

Jan 18, 2013 -- 10:28PM, bubba0077 wrote:

They already have the phantom events for the more casual players...




This made me do a double take. Why? Because *I* think the phantom events don't target casual audiences at all. If you don't 'keep the cards' it's ALL about the quality of your drafting, which I would expect to appeal more to non-casual players.




The casual players remark above probably refered to the cheap price of entry. You get to play two hours of limited, and even if you lose twice, it's only four tickets, and you gained some experience. Non-casual players mostly care about EV and such; and yes, if you're good enough to win two queues out of three, six boosters for twelve tix is a good deal.

So these phantoms should be appealing to most everyone. After all, you can always take your winnings and crack them in the draft queues.




Well they demonstrably don't, no matter what logic you apply to them - they aren't firing like 4 pack did. Part of your mistake is that nobody is good enough to win 2/3 events, that's an absurd ratio. Not even lsv wins 2/3 drafts, and it is presumably easier to even out randomness that could cause a loss in drafts than it is in sealed where your entire pool is up to chance.

Also, people don't want to play some theoretically better phantom pack EV in order to open packs in order to play a bad EV pack opening event. They want to come to one place for both things, and that's reasonable.




Well, I played three so far, and got a booster out of each one. So I thought that somebody who actually knows how to play limited might do really well in these queues. But it may be that winning the event takes a good pool, not just a good player.

And good players play in these. I watch my rating between matches, and two out of three players have appreciably higher rating than me. And the third one is usually quite unexperienced.

50. Doesn't hurt. Yet.
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4 months ago  ::  Jan 26, 2013 - 1:54PM #445
timotheos
Date Joined: Jan 29, 2005
Posts: 1,482
I've just realised that the release and pre-release 6 pack sealeds are actually cheaper to enter than the regular queues.
While the release events have always been good value. The fact that the pre-release seems decent compared to the regular queues really shows how poor the value is in them.

I've bought the cards and made a deck
Now how do I win at this?

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4 months ago  ::  Jan 31, 2013 - 8:01AM #446
Vaarsuvius1
Date Joined: Apr 24, 2008
Posts: 651
I haven't played since christmas cube, checked in today, surprised to see a new cube already. Saw I am almost running out of tix, might join a phantom sealed to try it out.   After reading this thread and seeing pack prices will devaluate more and more I don't feel like buying new tix.   I think I keep it at paper magic for most of this year, maybe showing up for Realease Week from time to time.



I did enjoy cube format in 2012, but the 'Cool! New!' factor has passed now and the prizes don't justify the cost. 
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2 months ago  ::  Mar 14, 2013 - 7:29PM #447
Caligore
Date Joined: Jun 4, 2008
Posts: 96
So, buried somewhere in this thread is a link to a Twitter post from Worth where he says that 4-pack sealed isn't even a real thing. 

Seems real enough for Pax East.

www.wizards.com/Magic/Magazine/Article.a...

here are also huge swaths of tournaments going the whole time. Prizes include things like "Avacyn Restored Foil Set" and "Gatecrash Uncut Foil Card Sheet." And those are both for the same tournament, a four-booster Sealed deck on Sunday. There's a complete schedule in PDF form here.

And if you just want to hang out and play Magic, there's an Intro Pack league to make sure that there are other people with the same idea as you!


PAX East is March 22-24, 2013, in Boston, MA. Frankly, it sounds like a lot of fun!

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2 months ago  ::  Mar 28, 2013 - 4:22AM #448
Cervantez
Date Joined: Nov 5, 2005
Posts: 113
So how has cancelling 4-pack sealed effected the MTGO economy in 3 months time?
Unfortunately our doom scenarios about plummeting pack prices have come true and constructed queues now have abysmal value.

As I'm typing this, GTC is right around the $3 mark and RTR has only slightly rebounded to about $3.3. There's an overabundance of supply of current-set boosters, basically because everything pays out in these packs and nothing (except drafts) uses them. Exactly as we suspected.

I'm curious if Wizards has any changes in mind. Cause atm I can't justify playing a phantom sealed or a constructed event because of the terrible value due to low pack prices. For god's sake, just let us use our boosters to enter events!
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1 month ago  ::  Apr 16, 2013 - 6:04PM #449
pcjr
Date Joined: Apr 7, 2002
Posts: 1,952
Is someone going to monitor pack prices to see if they are effected by the return of 4-pack sealed?
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1 month ago  ::  Apr 17, 2013 - 2:31AM #450
kristijanH
Date Joined: Dec 25, 2009
Posts: 1,072
Here you go (GTC prices as of today):

 
17.apr 16.apr 15.apr 12.apr 3.apr 27.mar 23.mar 22.mar 21.mar 5.mar
3,08 3,01 2,95 3,07 2,97 3,09 3,21 3,35 3,2 3,42
3.mar 2.mar 1.mar 28.feb 27.feb 26.feb 23.feb 22.feb 21.feb 20.feb
3,49 3,35 3,29 3,19 3,28 3,28 3,3 3,17 3,16 3,21
19.feb 18.feb 17.feb 16.feb 15.feb 14.feb 13.feb 12.feb 11.feb
3,3 3,25 3,18 3,13 3,06 3,2 3,26 3,28 3,16
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