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11 months ago ::
Jul 27, 2012 - 7:29PM
#1
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I'd like to know so that I can calculate the average gain/loss of doing a draft on MTGO
1000th post November 26, 2010. Where Islands gets his decks: Spoiler:
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It was revealed to me in a dream. All the cards were in my dream except for three slots which I plugged in as Vault Skirge.
FULL DISCLOSURE: The dream was post AVR so there was a copy of Slayer's Stronghold. I decided to keep it pre AVR in my post here.
EDIT: I just remembered. The Skirges might have been 2x Whipflare and 1x something else, probably War and Peace.
EDIT2: Currently 4-0 in my first four games with this. My opponents have been very angry. I fought off a Wurmcoil from Grixis for six turns before I found my second Dispatch. Jeez, I can do a lot of damage.
EDIT3: Streak broken. Lost to an unexpected Overrun.  Cracking a Shrine for 10 wasn't enough.
How Kedi tests his decks: Spoiler:
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also, I've been playtesting this deck in my sleep today
that kinda freaked me out
Sleeping on Halloween: Spoiler:
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Halloween is a conspiracy by crossdressers and furries.
 Thanks to Kipz for the sig. Make a contract with me to become a magical girl!
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11 months ago ::
Jul 27, 2012 - 7:42PM
#2
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1-2 tix
If you play enough, you'll hit a mythic (like liliana or ajani) that'll be worth quite a bit. So, for that, you can just use the odds of opening a particular mythic, add them together for the very valuable mythics, then divide by three to estimate in how many drafts you'll open those. You could then divide their value by that number.
For example, say ajani and lilana are worth $20 each. Then say that the odds of opening a particular mythic are 1 in 121 (IDK the exact number for M13). So, you have a 2:121 chance of opening one of them in a pack, which is a 6:121 chance per draft. So that'd be $120:121 or about $1 per draft, on average, just from Ajani and Liliana, if that makes sense.
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