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Sticky: The Trade Thread
5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 3:50AM #51
BassmanARW
Date Joined: Aug 9, 2006
Posts: 1,958

SJUD wrote:

WRONG

Please don't spread false information to people when you have no idea what you are talking about and you don't cite any sources. The average price is $10.23 and the price has been stable since it came out.

http://www.pileshuffle.com/index.php?ac … item=39611


Magictraders.com begs to differ. Avg of $5.86


so anyway someone proposed this to me today...

My:
4x Fire-lit Thicket

For his:
3x Damnation (Textless Promo)

can I assume that this is a loss on playability but a win on value? Certainly there is a win on fancyness.

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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 6:13AM #52
iamajellydonut
  • UnCon Prizewinner 2008
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Date Joined: Jan 20, 2008
Posts: 7,197

BassmanARW wrote:

My:
4x Fire-lit Thicket

For his:
3x Damnation (Textless Promo)

can I assume that this is a loss on playability but a win on value? Certainly there is a win on fancyness.


I'd say win on both. Filter Lands are not good. And their price continues to fall.

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I'm the world's leading astrophysicist. You can trust me, because I said I was.

Oct 11, 2012 -- 9:16AM, Enigma256 wrote:

Oct 11, 2012 -- 8:50AM, Chaikov wrote:

What's wrong with my formating?

you make paragraphs shorter than the page width


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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 10:12AM #53
SJUD
Date Joined: Apr 17, 2008
Posts: 510

BassmanARW wrote:

Magictraders.com begs to differ. Avg of $5.86


Everyone knows their price guide is complete crap. Use a site that actually takes data from a bunch of sites that sell cards. Unless you think a foil demigod of revenge is only worth $10. Keep using that site so you can keep getting ripped off

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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 10:13AM #54
SJUD
Date Joined: Apr 17, 2008
Posts: 510

BassmanARW wrote:

Magictraders.com begs to differ. Avg of $5.86


so anyway someone proposed this to me today...

My:
4x Fire-lit Thicket

For his:
3x Damnation (Textless Promo)

can I assume that this is a loss on playability but a win on value? Certainly there is a win on fancyness.


Very big win on value here. do it.

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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 6:17PM #55
BassmanARW
Date Joined: Aug 9, 2006
Posts: 1,958

SJUD wrote:

Everyone knows their price guide is complete crap. Use a site that actually takes data from a bunch of sites that sell cards. Unless you think a foil demigod of revenge is only worth $10. Keep using that site so you can keep getting ripped off


The fact is:

They are all crap. Any given price guide can be used to your advantage. When selling, you should go higher than motl to get a good deal. For buying you should aim lower than motl to get a good deal.

When trading, you both can agree to any priceguide you want, but the person who is more confident in their own pricing is the one who will be able to get the better deal. I can take blackborder and rip you off since clearly my 12 crap lorwyn rares are worth your 2 Revised Taiga. I can take motl and get your old money cards with my latest set chase rares because people on ebay are fighting over getting the new stuff. Maybe foil Demigod is only worth $10 - that's fine, as long as you price everything else in relation to that price.

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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 7:33PM #56
SJUD
Date Joined: Apr 17, 2008
Posts: 510
That's why price guides are useless. You need to look at the places that are actually selling the items to see what they go for. Do you think places would keep prices so high that nobody would buy them? The prices they set the cards at are what people will actually pay for them.

One site however is not a good indicator because they might not have enough customers, they might be catering to a different market of people, or they might have a limited supply. When you take many sites and average the prices, then you get a better idea than just looking at one site or one price guide.

I can make a price guide and put everything at $1. Does that mean al other data out there is useless and mine takes precedent?
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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 8:17PM #57
lxidor
Date Joined: Jan 23, 2007
Posts: 417
MOTL parses completed Ebay auctions weekly to generate their price.

That's why I like MOTL over blackborder. It says what stuff is actually selling for on a completely open market, where as blackborder gets skewed by stores that think Akroma's worth $30 or some such shenanigans like that.
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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 10:29PM #58
royk
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Date Joined: Nov 22, 2006
Posts: 8,429

SJUD wrote:

That's why price guides are useless. You need to look at the places that are actually selling the items to see what they go for. Do you think places would keep prices so high that nobody would buy them? The prices they set the cards at are what people will actually pay for them.

One site however is not a good indicator because they might not have enough customers, they might be catering to a different market of people, or they might have a limited supply. When you take many sites and average the prices, then you get a better idea than just looking at one site or one price guide.

I can make a price guide and put everything at $1. Does that mean al other data out there is useless and mine takes precedent?


Prices guides aren't really useless... seriously. As long as you don't compare a price from one source with that of another source (like comparing a price of a FoD on MOTL vs. a price of FoD on Blackborder/Starcity) but keep references to one particular source, you should make better decisions than those you would make without it, assuming you don't already have a keen sense of value and playability in the world meta.

As I see it, there are two main types of guides for pricing: the ones that rate cards at a typically higher value (think FoD for 18 USD) and the ones that rate cards at a typically lower value (think FoD for 11 USD). There is not a "correct" price per se for any single card because businesses will sell cards for a higher margin of profit than the average ebay-Joe just looking to salvage some value from his collection as he turns to other pursuits.

So really, MOTL or Blackborder is fine. Just don't mix and match prices.


***************************

Oh, and...

My:

1 Figure of Destiny PROMO

His:

1 Wrath of God 9E
1 Fulminator Mage


and...

My:

1 Breeding Pool

His:

1 Wrath of God (something old I have not yet bothered to look up, though I'm thinking Revised as theres no expansion symbol)
1 Cascade Bluffs



all because I needed the WoG's.


Also...

My:

1 Chameleon Colossus
1 Incendiary Command

His:

1 Cryptic Command

Deck Critique VCL
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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 10:50PM #59
SJUD
Date Joined: Apr 17, 2008
Posts: 510

royk wrote:

There is not a "correct" price per se for any single card because businesses will sell cards for a higher margin of profit than the average ebay-Joe just looking to salvage some value from his collection as he turns to other pursuits.


This is the exact reason why ebay based pricing systems are not entirely accurate. The businesses are selling cards to maximize their profits which means they will have the highest price of the card that still receives a lot of buys. The ebay sellers are not getting the optimal price because of the time constraint, last second auction poachers, and their willingness to take a reduced value.

On to the trades.. I see the first 2 in your favor with the last one pretty much a toss up.

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5 years ago  ::  Sep 13, 2008 - 11:07PM #60
royk
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Date Joined: Nov 22, 2006
Posts: 8,429

SJUD wrote:

This is the exact reason why ebay based pricing systems are not entirely accurate. The businesses are selling cards to maximize their profits which means they will have the highest price of the card that still receives a lot of buys. The ebay sellers are not getting the optimal price because of the time constraint, last second auction poachers, and their willingness to take a reduced value.


I would argue that Ebay pricing reflects the "real" value of cards as those sellers typically don't have to deal with the constraints of maintaining marginal revenue and marginal cost equilibrium.

Whether those sellers do or do not get the optimal price is moot, because all that matters is whether there is any demand for cards priced at that value, which there is, obviously.

The idea of an Equilibrium Price is great. Just remember that there are other prices, and people willing to pay them.

Deck Critique VCL
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Don't assume I have read any response you might have made directed toward me in a thread or post. The best method to contact me is Private Message as I will always check there upon logging on

Please review the Code of Conduct or the Comprehensive Rules when in doubt.

Also, please use Google for your easy-to-answer questions. Read this for a bit on game mathematics.

This is information on game psychology and the infamous term "scrub."

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