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Posted by: BigK42 on Jul 21, 2010 at 07:33:35 PM

One of the best ways to fine tune your deck and improve you play is to have a good understanding of the probabilities involved with your deck.  This is the first of a series of articles intended to explore some of the probabilites involved in Mtg.

1. I want to see a card in my opening hand.  What is the probability of drawing it?

This question can be important if you run a deck that relies heavily on one card in order to win, or if it's better to have a card in your opening hand.  This matters to decks running [c]Pyromancer Ascension[/c] or [c]Leyline of Anticipation[/c], for instance. 

The answer depends on how many copies of the card you're running.  Assuming you play a full play set (4 copies), the chances of drawing at least 1 in your openeing hand are approximately 40%.

You get

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